America’s 28-point plan for the Ukraine war: A bitter end for Kyiv

The United States has recently put forward a new plan to end the Ukraine war, which requires Kyiv to give up territory and certain weapons. Washington has informed Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky that he must agree to the plan.

Russian President Vladimir Putin said the proposal—developed with Russian input and containing many of Moscow’s key demands—could serve as a basis for resolving the conflict.

Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky warned that his country may soon face a painful choice between losing its “dignity” or losing the support of its most important ally.

According to the 28-point peace proposal, Ukraine is promised credible security guarantees. A senior U.S. official told ABC News these guarantees would resemble “NATO-style security assurances.”

In an interview with Mizan, American affairs analyst Amir Ali Abolfath discussed the U.S. plan and the future outlook of the Ukraine war.

Ukraine has no option but to accept the U.S. plan

Abolfath said whether the plan becomes reality depends on whether Ukraine accepts it, but ultimately Kyiv will have no choice:

“Time is not on Ukraine’s side. They have no alternative, and they will be forced to accept it. Things are not going to improve for them, and no positive outcome will emerge by waiting.”

The analyst stressed that if Ukraine wants peace and hopes to avoid further destruction, it must swallow a “very bitter pill,” because Ukraine has no prospects for military success.

The West is unwilling to provide more support

Abolfath continued: “The Americans are tired and do not want to continue helping Ukraine. Europe on its own cannot support Kyiv.”

He noted that even with U.S. and European backing, Ukraine failed to recapture its territories—let alone succeed if that support disappears.

As a result, Ukraine will reportedly need to surrender 20% of its territory. Beyond areas already lost in the war, Kyiv would also be required to withdraw from additional regions.

Security guarantees with an uncertain future

Under the U.S. plan, Abolfath noted, Ukraine’s military must be downsized and the country would be barred from joining NATO: “All of this depends on security guarantees whose reliability is unknown.”

He questioned whether the West would actually come to Ukraine’s aid if fighting resumed: “If the West wanted to rescue Ukraine, they would have done so already.”

Western officials claim Ukraine would receive NATO-like guarantees—but Abolfath points out: “If they are serious about their promises, they should admit Ukraine into NATO. If they refuse to do so, any guarantee is meaningless.”

Ukraine has no path forward except a deal with Russia

Abolfath emphasized that Ukraine ultimately must reach an agreement with Russia:

“There is no hope from Europe, no hope from the United States. Ukraine will have to come to terms with Russia.”

He added that according to some reports, Russia helped shape the U.S. plan:

• The terms favor Russia
• Ukraine will not join NATO
• Russian assets will be unfrozen
• Sanctions will gradually be lifted
• Moscow retains the upper hand militarily

Under the proposal, Russia would effectively secure all its core objectives. Two regions would be formally resolved in Russia’s favor, and two others would remain unresolved but under Moscow’s control.